VIGIL x Polymarket

Independent trust scoring for prediction market traders. Calibration-first methodology. Not investment advice.
The Proprietary Layer: Calibration Scoring
Calibration Analysis
When a trader buys YES at $0.70, they imply 70% probability. We check: does the event actually happen 70% of the time? This separates genuine skill from speed arb and luck.
Skill vs. Luck Decomposition
Returns decomposed into Skill (calibration-weighted alpha), Luck (variance residual). Know what you are buying before you copy-trade.
Brier Score + 6-Dimension Trust Rating
Calibration (25%), Live Edge (20%), Profitability (20%), Consistency (15%), Discipline (10%), Sample Size (10%) + Proven Winner Bonus.
Score Any Trader

Paste any Polymarket wallet address:

/polymarket/0x... (HTML card)

/v1/polymarket/0x... (JSON API)

What Makes This Different

Every other Polymarket leaderboard ranks by raw P&L. 14 of the top 20 most profitable wallets are bots running structural arbitrage. VIGIL scores what actually matters: can this trader predict the future?

VIGIL Trust Score is informational only.
DegenClaw Scoring | API Docs