{"wallet":"0x78b9ac44a6d7d7a076c14e0ad518b301b63c6b76","displayName":"Len9311238","pseudonym":"Tricky-Standing","raw":{"totalTrades":194,"totalVolume":4641881.47,"totalPnl":0,"realizedPnl":0,"unrealizedPnl":0,"winRate":1,"openPositions":0,"resolvedBets":7,"uniqueMarkets":7},"calibration":27,"profitability":40,"consistency":80,"discipline":11,"sampleSize":20,"liveEdge":40,"trustScore":38,"trustGrade":"D","trustTier":"RISKY","confidence":{"level":"very_low","margin":25,"resolvedBets":7,"description":"D/38 ± 25 (very_low confidence, 7 resolved bets)"},"calibrationReport":{"buckets":[{"range":"0.30-0.40","midpoint":0.3490199871024825,"totalBets":1,"correctBets":1,"actualRate":1,"expectedRate":0.3490199871024825,"error":0.6509800128975175},{"range":"0.40-0.50","midpoint":0.4152192758674862,"totalBets":3,"correctBets":3,"actualRate":1,"expectedRate":0.4152192758674862,"error":0.5847807241325138},{"range":"0.50-0.60","midpoint":0.5770199411158686,"totalBets":1,"correctBets":1,"actualRate":1,"expectedRate":0.5770199411158686,"error":0.42298005888413137},{"range":"0.60-0.70","midpoint":0.6205910112695991,"totalBets":2,"correctBets":2,"actualRate":1,"expectedRate":0.6205910112695991,"error":0.37940898873040085}],"brierScore":0.2738,"calibrationError":0.5124,"resolvedBets":7,"overconfidenceBias":-0.5124,"skillDecomposition":{"skill":0,"luck":27,"edge":113.7},"brierDecomposition":{"calibration":0.2738,"resolution":0,"uncertainty":0},"brierSkillScore":-0.0952,"logLoss":0.742,"logLossSkill":-92.8348,"timeliness":{"avgDaysBeforeResolution":544.5,"earlyMoverPct":1,"timelinessScore":100}},"onChain":{"verified":true,"provenance":{"wallet":"0x78b9ac44a6d7d7a076c14e0ad518b301b63c6b76","chainId":137,"firstTxTimestamp":1729630720,"firstTxDate":"2024-10-22","walletAgeDays":545,"totalTransactions":2000,"uniqueCounterparties":0,"inboundTxCount":0,"outboundTxCount":0,"totalEthReceived":"0.000000","totalEthSent":"0.000000","netEthFlow":"0.000000","usdcTransfers":1999,"totalUsdcIn":3491478.16,"totalUsdcOut":3409916.53,"protocolsUsed":["USDC","USDC.e (Bridged)"],"uniqueContractsInteracted":3,"contractInteractions":0,"botScore":0,"washTradingScore":0,"topCounterpartyConcentration":0,"medianTxIntervalSec":0,"burstTxCount":0,"provenanceScore":71,"provenanceGrade":"B","flags":["Limited counterparties: only 0 unique addresses","No contract interactions despite activity — possible EOA-only transfers"],"greenFlags":["Wallet age: 545 days (mature)","Heavy on-chain activity: 2000 txs","Significant USDC flow: $6,901,395","Human-like transaction patterns"],"fetchedAt":"2026-04-21T06:34:07.491Z","dataSource":"basescan-v2"},"pnlDivergence":null,"pnlVerified":false},"polymarketCoverage":{"wallet":"0x78b9ac44a6d7d7a076c14e0ad518b301b63c6b76","usdcInflowsFromPolymarket":0,"usdcOutflowsToPolymarket":0,"withdrawalTxCount":0,"largestWithdrawal":0,"firstPolymarketTxDate":"never","fetchedAt":"2026-04-21T06:34:06.679Z"},"reasoning":["On-chain verification: wallet age 545 days, 2000 txs, provenance grade B. Bot score: 0/100, wash trading score: 0/100.","Polymarket on-chain coverage: $0 in / $0 out across 0 withdrawal tx since never.","194 total trades across 7 markets.","7 bets on resolved markets available for calibration scoring.","Insufficient resolved bets for calibration analysis.","Skill: 0/100 (calibration quality). Variance: 27/100 (higher = more volatile returns)."],"flags":["Concentrated portfolio: 100% in single market","Thin resolved data: only 7 resolved bets"],"greenFlags":["On-chain: 545-day wallet history on Polygon","On-chain: human-like trading patterns"],"scoredAt":"2026-04-21T06:34:07.492Z","dataSource":"polymarket-v1","disclaimer":"VIGIL Trust Score is informational only — not investment advice. Calibration scoring requires resolved markets and may not reflect recent performance.","cached":true,"cachedAt":1776753247492}