{"wallet":"0xd1a63a243042d864520512fbdbd2fd20e0ab1507","displayName":"DkOYL","pseudonym":"Blissful-Maestro","raw":{"totalTrades":3100,"totalVolume":82793.03,"totalPnl":879.09,"realizedPnl":78.95,"unrealizedPnl":800.15,"winRate":0,"openPositions":0,"resolvedBets":1000,"uniqueMarkets":626},"calibration":99,"profitability":42,"consistency":100,"discipline":50,"sampleSize":100,"liveEdge":40,"trustScore":74,"trustGrade":"B","trustTier":"SOLID","confidence":{"level":"high","margin":3,"resolvedBets":1000,"description":"B/74 ± 3 (high confidence, 1000 resolved bets)"},"calibrationReport":{"buckets":[{"range":"0.00-0.10","midpoint":0.009999999999999832,"totalBets":1000,"correctBets":0,"actualRate":0,"expectedRate":0.009999999999999832,"error":0.009999999999999832}],"brierScore":0.0001,"calibrationError":0.01,"resolvedBets":1000,"overconfidenceBias":0.01,"skillDecomposition":{"skill":58.8,"luck":100,"edge":-0.04},"brierDecomposition":{"calibration":0.0001,"resolution":0,"uncertainty":0},"brierSkillScore":0.9996,"logLoss":0.0101,"logLossSkill":-0.271,"timeliness":{"avgDaysBeforeResolution":0,"earlyMoverPct":0,"timelinessScore":0}},"onChain":{"verified":true,"provenance":{"wallet":"0xd1a63a243042d864520512fbdbd2fd20e0ab1507","chainId":137,"firstTxTimestamp":1775670461,"firstTxDate":"2026-04-08","walletAgeDays":13,"totalTransactions":2992,"uniqueCounterparties":30,"inboundTxCount":992,"outboundTxCount":0,"totalEthReceived":"0.000000","totalEthSent":"0.000000","netEthFlow":"0.000000","usdcTransfers":2000,"totalUsdcIn":18813.75,"totalUsdcOut":17456.91,"protocolsUsed":["USDC.e (Bridged)"],"uniqueContractsInteracted":2,"contractInteractions":992,"botScore":60,"washTradingScore":0,"topCounterpartyConcentration":0.04,"medianTxIntervalSec":8,"burstTxCount":59,"provenanceScore":63,"provenanceGrade":"B","flags":["Young wallet: only 13 days old","Receive-only wallet: never sent a transaction","Bot-like behavior detected: 59 burst txs, median interval 8s"],"greenFlags":["Heavy on-chain activity: 2992 txs","Significant USDC flow: $36,271","Diverse trading network: 30 counterparties"],"fetchedAt":"2026-04-21T21:26:04.625Z","dataSource":"basescan-v2"},"pnlDivergence":477.75,"pnlVerified":true},"polymarketCoverage":{"wallet":"0xd1a63a243042d864520512fbdbd2fd20e0ab1507","usdcInflowsFromPolymarket":0,"usdcOutflowsToPolymarket":0,"withdrawalTxCount":0,"largestWithdrawal":0,"firstPolymarketTxDate":"never","fetchedAt":"2026-04-21T21:26:04.396Z"},"reasoning":["On-chain verification: wallet age 13 days, 2992 txs, provenance grade B. Bot score: 60/100, wash trading score: 0/100.","Polymarket on-chain coverage: $0 in / $0 out across 0 withdrawal tx since never.","3100 total trades across 626 markets.","1000 bets on resolved markets available for calibration scoring.","Calibration error: 1.0% — excellent.","Skill: 59/100 (calibration quality). Variance: 100/100 (higher = more volatile returns).","Brier Skill Score: 100.0% vs naive baseline (>0% = better than always predicting base rate).","Brier decomposition: REL=0.0001 RES=0.0000 UNC=0.0000.","Log loss: 0.0101 (skill: -27.1% vs naive). Lower log loss = better calibration on rare events."],"flags":["High luck component: 100/100 — returns may not persist","Low resolution: forecasts cluster near base rate — no genuine opinions","Log loss penalty: severe overconfidence on wrong bets detected","Receive-only wallet: zero outbound transactions — possible proxy/settlement address","Low win rate: 0%","Concentrated portfolio: 100% in single market","On-chain: bot-like trading patterns detected (bot score: 60)"],"greenFlags":["Strong Brier score: 0.0001","Brier Skill Score: 100.0% better than naive baseline","Proven track record bonus: +8 pts (1000 resolved bets, positive BSS, profitable)","Net profitable: +$879 total PnL","Well-diversified: 626 unique markets","On-chain: diverse counterparty network"],"scoredAt":"2026-04-21T21:26:11.591Z","dataSource":"polymarket-v1","disclaimer":"VIGIL Trust Score is informational only — not investment advice. Calibration scoring requires resolved markets and may not reflect recent performance."}