{"wallet":"0xd235973291b2b75ff4070e9c0b01728c520b0f29","displayName":"zxgngl","pseudonym":"Delayed-Terrapin","raw":{"totalTrades":909,"totalVolume":15679819.6,"totalPnl":-7281515.16,"realizedPnl":0,"unrealizedPnl":-7281515.16,"winRate":0.833,"openPositions":0,"resolvedBets":6,"uniqueMarkets":8},"calibration":28,"profitability":0,"consistency":82,"discipline":12,"sampleSize":20,"liveEdge":40,"trustScore":31,"trustGrade":"F","trustTier":"DANGER","confidence":{"level":"very_low","margin":25,"resolvedBets":6,"description":"INS (6 resolved bets — insufficient data for grade CI)","ci95":{"scoreLow":6,"scoreHigh":56,"gradeLow":"INS","gradeHigh":"INS","iterations":0,"insufficientData":true}},"calibrationReport":{"buckets":[{"range":"0.00-0.10","midpoint":0.04100000079999999,"totalBets":1,"correctBets":1,"actualRate":1,"expectedRate":0.04100000079999999,"error":0.9589999992},{"range":"0.30-0.40","midpoint":0.33013054676111403,"totalBets":1,"correctBets":0,"actualRate":0,"expectedRate":0.33013054676111403,"error":0.33013054676111403},{"range":"0.60-0.70","midpoint":0.6200687364641263,"totalBets":1,"correctBets":1,"actualRate":1,"expectedRate":0.6200687364641263,"error":0.3799312635358737},{"range":"0.80-0.90","midpoint":0.8,"totalBets":1,"correctBets":1,"actualRate":1,"expectedRate":0.8,"error":0.19999999999999996},{"range":"0.90-1.00","midpoint":0.905,"totalBets":2,"correctBets":2,"actualRate":1,"expectedRate":0.905,"error":0.09499999999999997}],"brierScore":0.2052,"calibrationError":0.3432,"resolvedBets":6,"overconfidenceBias":-0.2331,"skillDecomposition":{"skill":41,"luck":69.6,"edge":36.58},"brierDecomposition":{"calibration":0.2052,"resolution":0.1389,"uncertainty":0.1389},"brierSkillScore":-0.4773,"logLoss":0.7493,"logLossSkill":-0.663,"timeliness":{"avgDaysBeforeResolution":638,"earlyMoverPct":1,"timelinessScore":100}},"onChain":null,"polymarketCoverage":{"wallet":"0xd235973291b2b75ff4070e9c0b01728c520b0f29","usdcInflowsFromPolymarket":0,"usdcOutflowsToPolymarket":0,"withdrawalTxCount":0,"largestWithdrawal":0,"firstPolymarketTxDate":"never","fetchedAt":"2026-08-02T06:58:37.607Z"},"reasoning":["Polymarket on-chain coverage: $0 in / $0 out across 0 withdrawal tx since never.","909 total trades across 8 markets.","6 bets on resolved markets available for calibration scoring.","Insufficient resolved bets for calibration analysis.","Skill: 41/100 (calibration quality). Variance: 70/100 (higher = more volatile returns)."],"flags":["Net loss: -$7281515 total PnL","Concentrated portfolio: 100% in single market","Thin resolved data: only 6 resolved bets","young_wallet: Wallet is only 0 days old — force-INS (threshold 30d)"],"greenFlags":[],"scoredAt":"2026-08-02T06:58:51.716Z","dataSource":"polymarket-v1","disclaimer":"VIGIL Trust Score is informational only — not investment advice. Calibration scoring requires resolved markets and may not reflect recent performance.","antiSybil":{"eligibleForGrade":false,"ageFactor":0,"reason":"Wallet is only 0 days old — force-INS (threshold 30d)","ageDaysUsed":0},"cached":true,"cachedAt":1785653932082}