{"wallet":"0xee55214ee3a9ee22a404663c76ca832577df7b04","displayName":"sixx7","pseudonym":"Minty-Complicity","raw":{"totalTrades":3100,"totalVolume":13321.01,"totalPnl":32693.68,"realizedPnl":65598.32,"unrealizedPnl":-32904.63,"winRate":0,"openPositions":16,"resolvedBets":984,"uniqueMarkets":230},"calibration":23,"profitability":100,"consistency":74,"discipline":92,"sampleSize":100,"liveEdge":47,"trustScore":61,"trustGrade":"C","trustTier":"DEVELOPING","confidence":{"level":"high","margin":3,"resolvedBets":984,"description":"C/61 [CI95: C→C, 60-62] (984 resolved bets)","ci95":{"scoreLow":60,"scoreHigh":62,"gradeLow":"C","gradeHigh":"C","iterations":1000,"insufficientData":false}},"calibrationReport":{"buckets":[{"range":"0.00-0.10","midpoint":0.07143333333333333,"totalBets":24,"correctBets":0,"actualRate":0,"expectedRate":0.07143333333333333,"error":0.07143333333333333},{"range":"0.10-0.20","midpoint":0.1570962962962963,"totalBets":54,"correctBets":0,"actualRate":0,"expectedRate":0.1570962962962963,"error":0.1570962962962963},{"range":"0.20-0.30","midpoint":0.2527220338983051,"totalBets":118,"correctBets":0,"actualRate":0,"expectedRate":0.2527220338983051,"error":0.2527220338983051},{"range":"0.30-0.40","midpoint":0.34736521739130416,"totalBets":138,"correctBets":0,"actualRate":0,"expectedRate":0.34736521739130416,"error":0.34736521739130416},{"range":"0.40-0.50","midpoint":0.4508074999999998,"totalBets":160,"correctBets":0,"actualRate":0,"expectedRate":0.4508074999999998,"error":0.4508074999999998},{"range":"0.50-0.60","midpoint":0.5454272727272728,"totalBets":132,"correctBets":0,"actualRate":0,"expectedRate":0.5454272727272728,"error":0.5454272727272728},{"range":"0.60-0.70","midpoint":0.6512614285714287,"totalBets":140,"correctBets":0,"actualRate":0,"expectedRate":0.6512614285714287,"error":0.6512614285714287},{"range":"0.70-0.80","midpoint":0.7476055555555559,"totalBets":108,"correctBets":0,"actualRate":0,"expectedRate":0.7476055555555559,"error":0.7476055555555559},{"range":"0.80-0.90","midpoint":0.8407071428571429,"totalBets":84,"correctBets":0,"actualRate":0,"expectedRate":0.8407071428571429,"error":0.8407071428571429},{"range":"0.90-1.00","midpoint":0.9329538461538461,"totalBets":26,"correctBets":0,"actualRate":0,"expectedRate":0.9329538461538461,"error":0.9329538461538461}],"brierScore":0.3049,"calibrationError":0.507,"resolvedBets":984,"overconfidenceBias":0.507,"skillDecomposition":{"skill":0,"luck":27.6,"edge":-52.45},"brierDecomposition":{"calibration":0.304,"resolution":0,"uncertainty":0},"brierSkillScore":-0.2194,"logLoss":0.847,"logLossSkill":-106.1218,"timeliness":{"avgDaysBeforeResolution":0,"earlyMoverPct":0,"timelinessScore":0}},"onChain":{"verified":true,"provenance":{"wallet":"0xee55214ee3a9ee22a404663c76ca832577df7b04","chainId":137,"firstTxTimestamp":1774600375,"firstTxDate":"2026-03-27","walletAgeDays":49,"totalTransactions":3000,"uniqueCounterparties":7,"inboundTxCount":1000,"outboundTxCount":0,"totalEthReceived":"0.000000","totalEthSent":"0.000000","netEthFlow":"0.000000","usdcTransfers":2000,"totalUsdcIn":15246.27,"totalUsdcOut":10488.6,"protocolsUsed":["USDC.e (Bridged)"],"uniqueContractsInteracted":2,"contractInteractions":1000,"botScore":0,"washTradingScore":50,"topCounterpartyConcentration":0.99,"medianTxIntervalSec":278,"burstTxCount":1,"provenanceScore":58,"provenanceGrade":"C","flags":["Receive-only wallet: never sent a transaction","Counterparty concentration: 99% with top address"],"greenFlags":["Heavy on-chain activity: 3000 txs","Significant USDC flow: $25,735","Human-like transaction patterns"],"fetchedAt":"2026-05-15T08:36:18.730Z","dataSource":"basescan-v2"},"pnlDivergence":27936.01,"pnlVerified":false},"polymarketCoverage":{"wallet":"0xee55214ee3a9ee22a404663c76ca832577df7b04","usdcInflowsFromPolymarket":9846.27,"usdcOutflowsToPolymarket":0,"withdrawalTxCount":18,"largestWithdrawal":2136.14,"firstPolymarketTxDate":"2026-03-27","fetchedAt":"2026-05-15T08:36:19.775Z"},"reasoning":["On-chain verification: wallet age 49 days, 3000 txs, provenance grade C. Bot score: 0/100, wash trading score: 50/100.","Polymarket on-chain coverage: $9,846 in / $0 out across 18 withdrawal tx since 2026-03-27.","3100 total trades across 230 markets.","984 bets on resolved markets available for calibration scoring.","Calibration error: 50.7% — needs improvement.","Skill: 0/100 (calibration quality). Variance: 28/100 (higher = more volatile returns).","Brier Skill Score: -21.9% vs naive baseline (>0% = better than always predicting base rate).","Brier decomposition: REL=0.3040 RES=0.0000 UNC=0.0000.","Log loss: 0.8470 (skill: -10612.2% vs naive). Lower log loss = better calibration on rare events."],"flags":["Overconfidence bias: 0.507","Brier Skill Score: -21.9% — performing worse than naive baseline","Low resolution: forecasts cluster near base rate — no genuine opinions","Log loss penalty: severe overconfidence on wrong bets detected","Receive-only wallet: zero outbound transactions — possible proxy/settlement address","Low win rate: 0%","PnL divergence: $27936 gap between API and on-chain USDC flows"],"greenFlags":["Net profitable: +$32694 total PnL","Well-diversified: 230 unique markets","On-chain: human-like trading patterns"],"scoredAt":"2026-05-15T08:36:25.382Z","dataSource":"polymarket-v1","disclaimer":"VIGIL Trust Score is informational only — not investment advice. Calibration scoring requires resolved markets and may not reflect recent performance.","antiSybil":{"eligibleForGrade":true,"ageFactor":0.1472512958148734,"reason":"Wallet age 48d → difficulty factor 0.15","ageDaysUsed":48}}