Wallets ranked by actual forecasting skill — Brier Skill Score, calibration, bootstrap CI95 — not PnL. Geopolitics is 47% of Polymarket volume; the loudest traders are rarely the most right.
Last updated: Tue, 08 Sep 2026 07:05:42 GMT · 24,250 wallets scanned
| # | Trader | Grade | BSS | Cal Error | Resolved | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mysaria | A/81 | +98% | 5.5% | 972 | +$32,689 |
| 2 | Favorable-Pepper-B... | C/58 | +18% | 6.8% | 239 | -$12,246 |
| 3 | Polkadot-Frog | C/56 | -999% | 52.3% | 986 | +$79,748 |
| 4 | RN1 | D/48 | -238% | 42.3% | 990 | +$7,465,792 |
| 5 | swisstony | D/44 | -166% | 41.7% | 501 | +$6,100,031 |
| 6 | nj23adsknml3 | D/41 | -439% | 42.7% | 960 | -$7,966 |
| 7 | Fredi9999 | D/41 | -21% | 27.4% | 40 | +$16,619,507 |
| 8 | OhioRiskManagement | D/38 | -33% | 50.5% | 1000 | -$5,075 |
| 9 | Len9311238 | D/38 | -10% | 51.2% | 7 | +$8,709,973 |
| 10 | Theo4 | D/37 | -460% | 52.2% | 14 | +$22,053,934 |
| 11 | Lively-Authenticity | D/36 | -999% | 56.9% | 982 | -$4,323 |
| 12 | Agile-Spacing | D/36 | -514% | 44.1% | 980 | -$759 |
| 13 | Bonereaper | D/35 | -999% | 52.9% | 988 | -$982 |
| 14 | PrincessCaro | D/35 | -26% | 24.5% | 14 | +$6,083,643 |
| 15 | UpTheBlues | F/34 | -999% | 40.0% | 994 | -$163,888 |
| 16 | zxgngl | F/31 | -48% | 34.3% | 6 | +$7,807,266 |
| 17 | RepTrump | F/31 | -142% | 40.9% | 8 | +$7,532,410 |
| 18 | kch123 | F/27 | -999% | 37.4% | 520 | +$11,866,256 |
| 19 | Flaznorp | F/18 | -114% | 53.9% | 69 | -$3,473 |