Wallets ranked by actual forecasting skill — Brier Skill Score, calibration, bootstrap CI95 — not PnL. Geopolitics is 47% of Polymarket volume; the loudest traders are rarely the most right.
Last updated: Fri, 23 Oct 2026 09:05:52 GMT · 59,489 wallets scanned
| # | Trader | Grade | BSS | Cal Error | Resolved | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Polkadot-Frog | C/60 | -999% | 50.3% | 992 | +$79,090 |
| 2 | Flaznorp | D/48 | -43% | 29.6% | 448 | -$9,060 |
| 3 | norm1e69 | D/44 | -34% | 54.9% | 485 | -$1,448 |
| 4 | CrouchPredictions | D/41 | -999% | 40.4% | 501 | +$0 |
| 5 | Fredi9999 | D/41 | -21% | 27.4% | 40 | +$16,619,507 |
| 6 | nj23adsknml3 | D/40 | -16% | 48.3% | 1000 | -$7,186 |
| 7 | Len9311238 | D/38 | -10% | 51.2% | 7 | +$8,709,973 |
| 8 | OhioRiskManagement | D/37 | -41% | 49.6% | 1000 | -$4,666 |
| 9 | Theo4 | D/37 | -460% | 52.2% | 14 | +$22,053,934 |
| 10 | RN1 | D/36 | -999% | 44.0% | 506 | +$7,465,792 |
| 11 | UpTheBlues | D/36 | -999% | 41.9% | 996 | -$167,562 |
| 12 | Favorable-Pepper-B... | D/36 | -23% | 11.6% | 306 | -$11,383 |
| 13 | Bonereaper | D/35 | -55% | 53.1% | 1000 | -$1,199 |
| 14 | PrincessCaro | D/35 | -26% | 24.5% | 14 | +$6,083,643 |
| 15 | Lively-Authenticity | F/33 | -999% | 58.9% | 994 | -$3,891 |
| 16 | swisstony | F/32 | -172% | 41.5% | 499 | +$6,100,031 |
| 17 | zxgngl | F/31 | -48% | 34.3% | 6 | +$7,807,266 |
| 18 | RepTrump | F/31 | -142% | 40.9% | 8 | +$7,532,410 |
| 19 | kch123 | F/28 | -999% | 37.5% | 520 | +$11,866,256 |