Wallets ranked by actual forecasting skill — Brier Skill Score, calibration, bootstrap CI95 — not PnL. Geopolitics is 47% of Polymarket volume; the loudest traders are rarely the most right.
Last updated: Sat, 25 Jul 2026 01:03:52 GMT · 1,136 wallets scanned
| # | Trader | Grade | BSS | Cal Error | Resolved | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | kch123 | D/49 | +27% | 39.0% | 78 | +$11,866,256 |
| 2 | swisstony | D/43 | -83% | 40.4% | 246 | +$6,100,031 |
| 3 | RN1 | D/41 | -999% | 44.4% | 988 | +$7,465,792 |
| 4 | Fredi9999 | D/41 | -21% | 27.4% | 40 | +$16,619,507 |
| 5 | Len9311238 | D/38 | -10% | 51.2% | 7 | +$8,709,973 |
| 6 | Theo4 | D/37 | -460% | 52.2% | 14 | +$22,053,934 |
| 7 | PrincessCaro | D/35 | -26% | 24.5% | 14 | +$6,083,643 |
| 8 | zxgngl | F/31 | -48% | 34.3% | 6 | +$7,807,266 |
| 9 | RepTrump | F/31 | -142% | 40.9% | 8 | +$7,532,410 |