Wallets ranked by actual forecasting skill — Brier Skill Score, calibration, bootstrap CI95 — not PnL. Geopolitics is 47% of Polymarket volume; the loudest traders are rarely the most right.
Last updated: Tue, 09 Jun 2026 15:26:43 GMT · 30,792 wallets scanned
| # | Trader | Grade | BSS | Cal Error | Resolved | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | alwayslatetotheparty | B/73 | +100% | 1.6% | 126 | +$691,376 |
| 2 | Admirable-Trust | C/62 | +98% | 5.8% | 1000 | +$14,107 |
| 3 | kch123 | C/59 | +37% | 35.0% | 36 | +$11,866,256 |
| 4 | std0 | C/58 | +18% | 44.2% | 34 | -$122 |
| 5 | sixx7 | C/56 | -999% | 49.0% | 983 | +$53,533 |
| 6 | Polkadot-Frog | C/55 | -999% | 52.3% | 992 | +$83,174 |
| 7 | aoe2gamer | C/55 | +11% | 46.1% | 112 | +$1 |
| 8 | Joble | C/53 | +4% | 48.1% | 332 | +$0 |
| 9 | dolita | C/53 | +9% | 47.2% | 82 | +$0 |
| 10 | Jubilant-Phrase | C/53 | -49% | 33.2% | 849 | +$385 |
| 11 | UUDDLRLR | C/52 | -16% | 52.7% | 223 | +$0 |
| 12 | screenSaver | C/52 | -999% | 49.5% | 992 | +$94,189 |
| 13 | Thick-Painter | C/52 | +74% | 15.0% | 501 | +$0 |
| 14 | JetFadil | C/50 | +0% | 47.7% | 200 | +$0 |
| 15 | donaldtrump5 | C/50 | +17% | 43.4% | 260 | +$0 |
| 16 | KimchiJuSaeYo | D/47 | +2% | 47.3% | 254 | +$1,948 |
| 17 | 58080B | D/47 | -999% | 48.9% | 126 | +$0 |
| 18 | godspeed11 | D/47 | +9% | 46.8% | 93 | +$0 |
| 19 | Trader 0x20d230... | D/46 | -999% | 49.4% | 394 | -$23 |
| 20 | Under-btc-low | D/46 | -3% | 50.1% | 500 | +$0 |
| 21 | swisstony | D/44 | -78% | 39.0% | 260 | +$6,100,031 |
| 22 | mooseborzoi | D/44 | -4% | 7.7% | 102 | +$155,890 |
| 23 | Agile-Spacing | D/44 | -19% | 53.0% | 226 | +$0 |
| 24 | ZinDotGae | D/44 | -11% | 49.3% | 198 | +$1,756 |
| 25 | fasoni | D/44 | -9% | 49.1% | 169 | +$0 |
| 26 | BillBenter2026 | D/41 | -999% | 30.3% | 984 | +$0 |
| 27 | Lively-Authenticity | D/41 | -951% | 47.6% | 286 | +$0 |
| 28 | fj3fwasjnk3t4 | D/41 | -999% | 49.4% | 996 | -$1,254 |
| 29 | Fredi9999 | D/41 | -21% | 27.4% | 40 | +$16,619,507 |
| 30 | Bonereaper | D/40 | -150% | 41.7% | 60 | +$1,833 |
| 31 | Trader 0x61eab7... | D/40 | -12% | 23.1% | 184 | -$818 |
| 32 | RN1 | D/39 | -731% | 46.7% | 962 | +$7,465,792 |
| 33 | Trader 0xb27bc9... | D/39 | -46% | 47.6% | 60 | -$1,858 |
| 34 | 0xAAAAA | D/39 | -372% | 42.9% | 202 | +$384 |
| 35 | Enraged-Ox | D/39 | -89% | 62.6% | 880 | +$0 |
| 36 | Trader 0x75cc3b... | D/38 | -871% | 34.8% | 325 | -$92 |
| 37 | Trader 0x5d4aba... | D/38 | -32% | 51.9% | 444 | +$7 |
| 38 | tataeerear | D/38 | -48% | 46.8% | 999 | -$96 |
| 39 | Len9311238 | D/38 | -10% | 51.2% | 7 | +$8,709,973 |
| 40 | Theo4 | D/37 | -460% | 52.2% | 14 | +$22,053,934 |
| 41 | OhioRiskManagement | D/36 | -52% | 52.6% | 1000 | -$230 |
| 42 | Trader 0x5e2b92... | D/36 | -999% | 35.9% | 337 | -$51 |
| 43 | dgcf | D/36 | -34% | 50.4% | 996 | +$0 |
| 44 | PrincessCaro | D/35 | -26% | 24.5% | 14 | +$6,083,643 |
| 45 | nj23adsknml3 | F/34 | -722% | 44.0% | 1000 | -$5,272 |
| 46 | neversmiling | F/33 | -999% | 47.3% | 992 | +$24,294 |
| 47 | tnotmotnotgwcrf | F/33 | -95% | 61.5% | 818 | +$0 |
| 48 | zxgngl | F/31 | -48% | 34.3% | 6 | +$7,807,266 |
| 49 | ToTheMoon0915 | F/31 | -999% | 49.2% | 1000 | +$0 |
| 50 | RepTrump | F/31 | -142% | 40.9% | 8 | +$7,532,410 |
| 51 | DkOYL | F/30 | -91% | 4.1% | 470 | -$5,230 |
| 52 | donthackme | F/28 | -68% | 4.0% | 884 | +$630,742 |
| 53 | Blaring-Backdrop | F/27 | -75% | 33.5% | 150 | -$11,061 |
| 54 | neutralwave23 | F/24 | -999% | 28.0% | 924 | -$46,904 |
| 55 | Impressive-Steak | F/23 | -47% | 36.5% | 750 | +$168,257 |
| 56 | NyetRisk | F/19 | -60% | 2.7% | 524 | -$11,169 |
| 57 | 0x562a11BCD7354Ea82 | F/17 | -490% | 14.9% | 221 | +$0 |
| 58 | suntori | F/10 | -97% | 10.6% | 550 | +$17,658 |